Tropical Depression Nineteen-E formed in the Pacific Ocean near Guerrero. On Thursday, it could turn into Tropical Storm Roslyn, and by Saturday, it could be a Category 2 hurricane.
Early on Thursday morning, it was 240 kilometers south-southwest of Tecpan de Galeana and 265 kilometers south of Zihuatanejo, both of which are in the state of Guerrero.
The thing is moving seven kilometers per hour in a west-northwest direction. It moves forward with steady winds of up to 55 kilometers per hour and gusts of up to 75 kilometers per hour.
When and where would Hurricane Roslyn possibly hit the land?
At a press conference on Wednesday afternoon, the General Coordinator of the National Meteorological Service (SMN) of the National Water Commission, Alejandra Margarita Méndez Girón, warned that the phenomenon would hit our country.
But it was still unclear where it would hit because there was an anticyclonic circulation system between the Baja California Peninsula and Sinaloa that could have changed its path.
How much the anticyclonic system moves will determine what happens. It could affect Nayarit if it moves quickly and weakens quickly. But if that doesn't happen, it might be over Colima or Jalisco. So, the official said, "we are asking the people to stay alert for at least another 24 hours until we know more about where the quake will hit."
Conagua's most recent forecast says that this thing will become Tropical Storm Roslyn on Thursday morning, a Category 1 Hurricane on Friday night, and a Category 2 Hurricane on Saturday.
It will then make a slight turn to the northeast and pass very close to Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco, before making landfall on Sunday just north of San Blas, on the coast of Nayarit. At the moment, the phenomenon is causing heavy rains and waves up to four meters high in Guerrero and very heavy rains in Michoacán.
At the beginning of October, Hurricane Orlene hit Sinaloa, very close to the border with Nayarit. It was a Category 1 storm.