No one can rule out the formation of a hurricane in Cancun. According to meteorologists' historical data, September, October, and November are the months with the highest activity. A total of 12 tropical systems have formed so far in the 2021 Rainy and Tropical Cyclone Season, which today is halfway through, with the most active months coming up.
The hurricane season lasts from June to November, so the first three hurricanes have passed and the period that year after year maintains the highest activity is coming. For the year 2021, between 15 and 20 tropical systems are forecast for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico. Up to this moment, 12 systems have been named, forming eight tropical storms, two category 1 or 2 hurricanes and the same number have reached maximum categories (3, 4, or 5) such as Grace and Ida.
On September 1, specialists began to monitor an area of instability in the Caribbean Sea. In the first hours of the day, it presented a low probability of evolving into a cyclonic system and was located off the coasts of Quintana Roo and Central America, 970 kilometers to the east southeast of the Costa Maya port, with a west northwest displacement at a speed of 8 to 16 km/h.
On Tuesday night the low pressure located off the coast of Africa evolved into tropical storm "Larry", it was located today (Wednesday) at 4:00 hours at 6,640 kilometers off the coast of Quintana Roo. Both systems do not represent any risk for the people of Quintana Roo at the moment.
The hurricane season runs from June to November, so the first three months have passed. The period of greatest risk and activity begins in September. Meteorologists forecast between 15 and 20 tropical systems for 2021. So far, none has become a hurricane in Cancun.